Understanding Communist China’s Elite Politics — The Concept of ‘Quan Wei’

Political office, titles, and theories are important indicators of how powerful a Chinese Communist Party leader or official is. But these aren’t the be-all, end-all in Communist Party elite politics. What really counts in Communist China is “quan wei” (權威) — the meaning of which we discuss in this episode.

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CCP elite politics
In 2017, we predicted the personnel reshuffles involving over 200 senior officials at the 19th Party Congress with over 80% accuracy.
In 2017, we predicted the ranking and portfolio of all four PRC vice premiers picked at the 2018 Two Sessions.
In 2017, we predicted that Xi Jinping would not pick a successor at the 19th Congress.
In 2017, we predicted five months in advance and before any others that Wang Qishan would be the next PRC vice president.
In 2018, we predicted the personnel reshuffles involving over 100 senior officials at the 2018 Two Sessions with over 70% accuracy.

Sino-U.S. relations
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In 2018, we predicted four months before verification that the U.S. is seeking to reshape the CCP-hijacked world order.

Epidemic
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In 2020, we predicted that a variety of highly contagious diseases affecting both humans and animals could break out and spread across China, and we do not rule out the possibility that the PRC will use unethical means to contain the spread of the diseases and eliminate the epidemics.