It's either Trump or Whitmer

The US presidential election is still 4 months away, but Wall Street thinks it already knows who will win. Since the debate last week, investors have been rushing to put on Trump trades. But is the market jumping the gun? The recent Biden vs Trump debate has fueled bets on shifts in the US Election yield curve and US Election market volatility. Figures like Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom, and Kamala Harris are emerging as potential replacement candidate. A Republican clean sweep narrative is gaining traction, especially in crucial battlegrounds like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. The pervasive media bias in elections is shaping voter perceptions, as seen in the New York Times election coverage. As we analyze Biden's debate performance and consider the impact of Trump's poll lead, it's clear that Independent voters 2024 will play pivotal roles. Biden's refusal to step aside complicates the landscape, with his campaign strategy under intense scrutiny. Have the odds of a second Trump term really gone up? Why does Whitmer Democrat have the best chance to give Trump a run for his money? What is the best election trade right now? David Woo, a former top-ranked Wall Street global macro strategist, tells it as it is. You may not agree with everything he says but he will make you reassess everything you thought you knew. #USElection2024 #USElectionPredictions #MediaBias

Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:50 Is Biden Out?
1:38 Biden’s Ticking Clock
2:39 Why Trump Shouldn’t Celebrate?
4:19 Who Will Replace Biden?
5:20 The Swing States
6:24 Who Stands a Chance against Trump?
08:48 My Predictions

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