终极解密:何卫东到底去哪儿了?被抓极不可能Ultimate Revelation: Where Exactly Has He Weidong Gone?
Автор: Du Wen 内蒙古杜文
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终极解密:何卫东到底去哪儿了?
近日有关中央军委副主席何卫东“被调查甚至被抓捕”的传闻在海外社交媒体广为流传。然而,从中共高层运作规律和现实政治态势来看,或者说从内部视角来看,此类传闻极可能并不属实。作为习近平亲信的何卫东,他的身份是中央政治局委员,目前中央军委官网的副主席公示栏显示职务正常。在当前台海紧张局势下对其“动手”毫无战略意义,临阵换将兵家大忌,你是习近平你会这么做吗?同时,我们纵观当前的中共,党内已经没有可挑战习近平权威的政治势力,“军委主席负责制”并不排斥副主席的作用。张又侠和何卫东3月10日以来没有公开露面,更可能是暗渡陈仓,投入军务或战备部署而非“出事”。种种迹象表明,有关“何卫东被捕”的消息很可能是中共故意释放的假消息,以此为中央军委高层人士突然隐遁制造舆论烟雾弹。以下我将从党内程序、政治惯例、官方信息、战略需求和党内形势等方面给大家就这个问题进行一些分析。一家之言,仅供大家参考。
Ultimate Revelation: Where Exactly Has He Weidong Gone?
Recently, rumors that He Weidong, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, has been “under investigation or even arrested” have been widely circulated on overseas social media. However, judging from the operating norms of the CCP leadership, the current political climate, and especially from an internal perspective, such rumors are highly likely to be untrue. As a trusted confidant of Xi Jinping, He Weidong holds the position of member of the Politburo of the Central Committee. Currently, the official website of the Central Military Commission still lists his position as normal under the Vice Chairmen section.
In the context of rising cross-strait tensions, taking action against him would serve no strategic purpose; changing generals on the eve of battle is a military taboo. If you were Xi Jinping, would you make such a move? Moreover, observing the current state of the CCP, there is no longer any political faction within the Party capable of challenging Xi Jinping’s authority. The “Chairman Responsibility System” of the Military Commission does not exclude the functions of the vice chairmen.
Both Zhang Youxia and He Weidong have not appeared publicly since March 10. It is more likely that they have been quietly redeployed, possibly involved in military affairs or combat preparedness, rather than having “run into trouble.” All signs suggest that the news of “He Weidong being arrested” is most likely a deliberate piece of disinformation released by the CCP itself, intended to create a media smokescreen for the sudden disappearance of top CMC personnel.
Below, I will offer an analysis of this issue from the angles of Party procedure, political precedent, official information, strategic needs, and intra-Party dynamics. This is a personal perspective, shared for your reference only.

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