Joe Rabil on volatility, the ADX line, risk management & Q4 leadership themes

Welcome to the latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast with David Keller, CMT! In today episode...

Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research discusses the "trend year" and why Q4 may be stronger than you think, why the ADX line is a key part of his technical analysis approach, best practices for analyzing volatility, the resurgence of semiconductor stocks, challenges for active management, top-heavy equity benchmarks, leadership themes for Q4, and how he thinks about risk management with so many conflicting macro themes.

0:00 Introduction
3:15 The "trend year" and what to watch for in Q4
7:33 Seasonality vs. volatility
9:57 Small cap performance
12:19 Semiconductors and large cap growth names
14:46 Challenges for active management
17:01 AT&T and the old telecom sector
19:52 Leadership themes for Q4 2024
23:27 Risk management during a period of heavy macro influences
26:17 Final comments

You can learn more about Joe and his work at https://rabilstockresearch.com/.

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David Keller, CMT is President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC, a boutique investment research and consulting firm focused on helping investors manage risk through market awareness. He combines the strengths of technical analysis, behavioral finance, and data visualization to empower self-directed investors to identify investment opportunities and minimize behavioral biases.

Dave is a CNBC Contributor, and he recaps market action, interviews leading experts, and explores the relationship between investing and behavioral psychology on his “Market Misbehavior” YouTube channel.

Dave was previously a Managing Director of Research for Fidelity Investments, where he managed the Technical Research Department as well as the renowned Fidelity Chart Room. He also served as Chief Market Strategist at StockCharts.com, building on the work of legendary technical analyst John Murphy.

A Past President of the CMT Association, Dave is also a member of the Technical Securities Analysts Association San Francisco and the International Federation of Technical Analysts. He has lectured on technical analysis and behavioral finance as an Adjunct Professor at the Brandeis University International Business School in Waltham, MA.

Dave was formerly a Technical Analysis Application Specialist with Bloomberg LP in New York and was a regular contributor to Bloomberg Markets magazine. He is editor of the book Breakthroughs in Technical Analysis: New Thinking from the World's Top Minds, published in 2007 by Bloomberg Press.

Dave is a classically trained musician and student pilot, and resides in Duvall, WA with his wife and two children. He received degrees in Music and Psychology from The Ohio State University.

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