Using xG to Predict Soccer Matches: A Step-by-Step Guide for Beginners

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In this video, we'll show you how you can use Expected Goals (xG) as a statistic to predict Wins in European football. The video answers the question of What is Expected Goals, Using a Logistic Regression to Build the Model, and Applying the Predictive Model to predict Wins and Draws. We use a dataset from the NWSL women's soccer league (a US league) to test the predictive model. (The video proposes an approach, but is for informational/educational purposes only. Be sure to build, test and validate your own models before using them.)

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🔔𝐃𝐨𝐧'𝐭 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐠𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐬𝐜𝐫𝐢𝐛𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐥 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐮𝐩𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬.
   / @imadatapunk  

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Video Chapters

00:00 - Start
00:10 - Video Sections
00:53 - What is Expected Goals?
02:52 - xG and Win Correlation
05:23 - Logistic Regression Model
07:00 - Applying the Model
08:17 - Want More Information
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#expectedgoals #datastorytelling #datascience #nwsl #predictivemodeling
#predictivemodels #sportsanalytics #soccer #football #logisticregression #rstudio #excel #rprogrammingforbeginners #datastories

Using Expected Goals (XG) to Predict Wins in Football