House Price Predictions 2026 (Not What You Think)

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What will New Zealand’s housing market look like over the next 5 years?

In today’s episode of the Property Academy podcast, we put the big questions to economist Tony Alexander — from house prices to interest rates to the impact of a potential capital gains tax.

In the next 20 minutes, you’ll learn:
● Will house prices rise or fall in 2026?
● What really happens if NZ brings in a capital gains tax
● How low (or high) interest rates could go over the next 3 years
● What baby boomer investors selling means for younger investors
● The real risks that could trigger the next downturn

If you want to know where the housing cycle is headed — and what to look out for as an investor — Tony gives his most up-to-date view in this episode.

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00:00 House Price Predictions 2026
00:38 House prices over the next 5 years
04:08 Where will the growth happen
06:46 2026 housing market recovery
08:10 Will the election have an impact?
09:19 What will a CGT do?
10:35 Where are interest rates headed?
14:03 The "Grey Wave"
16:08 The next downturn
19:29 House prices up by???

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