Kupyansk Liberated? This Changes Everything for Russia

Kupyansk Liberated? This Changes Everything for Russia — and not just on the map. Greg Terry and I break down why the fight over Kupyansk strikes at the heart of Moscow’s inevitability narrative: the idea that time, manpower, and attrition guarantee a Russian victory no matter what Ukraine does.

We walk through why Kupyansk matters operationally, how its potential liberation disrupts Russia’s northern logistics and defensive assumptions, and—most importantly—why this moment exposes the fragility of the “Ukraine will eventually lose” storyline that has been used to justify endless pressure for concessions. If inevitability collapses, so does Russia’s leverage.

This isn’t hype. It’s about narrative warfare colliding with battlefield reality—and why Kupyansk may mark the moment those two finally diverged.

Facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points.

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