PhD Explains What Could BREAK Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle

Rob Wallace sits down with Sina, co-founder of 21st Capital and one of Bitcoin’s most respected market analysts. We cover everything from the future of the 4-year Bitcoin cycle to Sina’s Quantile Model, which measures market risk and identifies Bitcoin “danger zones.”

You’ll learn:
• Why $200K Bitcoin by year-end is still possible, even with tariffs, a slowing economy, and recession risks
• How the Quantile Model predicts market bubbles and corrections
• The impact of ETFs, institutional adoption, and self-custody on Bitcoin’s long-term value
• Why self-custody is critical to Bitcoin’s mission of financial sovereignty
• How Bitcoin’s growth follows natural network adoption laws
• The macroeconomic forces shaping markets: Federal Reserve policy, interest rate cuts, tariffs, and global liquidity trends

This conversation delivers data-driven insights, market forecasts, and actionable strategies.

Chapters
00:00 Intro & Sina’s background
02:00 Is the 4-year Bitcoin cycle dead?
07:30 The Quantile Model explained
18:00 When Bitcoin enters the “danger zone”
24:40 Will Bitcoin go to infinity? The S-curve debate
35:50 Tariffs, recession risk & $200K Bitcoin
44:50 What’s really happening at the Fed
49:30 Has Bitcoin lost its self-custody mission?
57:40 The risks of corporate & ETF dominance
1:00:00 Final thoughts

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Bitcoin News is not a financial adviser. All opinions expressed by us or our guests in these videos is for informational purposes only, and should not be treated as investment or financial advice of any kind. Any information provided during the video is general in nature and does not take into account the viewers specific circumstances.