TRUMP's NEXT BEST MOVE, If Putin & Zelensky Talk /Patrick Henningsen

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Planned NATO arms shipments to Ukraine being put on hold would serve as a meaningful goodwill gesture, signaling seriousness without committing to a final deal.

The discussion critiques the idea that Russia is offering land concessions, suggesting it’s mostly rumor and political theater rather than verified policy. Real issues, like Russia’s security concerns, are largely ignored by Western narratives. Meanwhile, Ukraine continues provocative actions—striking Russian pipelines and cutting energy supplies to neighbors—which undermine negotiations.

European leaders are sending mixed signals: publicly discussing peace but simultaneously pushing for more military support and investment in Ukraine. Any agreement Trump or Putin might reach risks sabotage by European powers or Ukraine itself, making genuine progress difficult.

Still, top-level diplomacy—Trump engaging directly with Putin—has positive optics, may pressure Europeans and Zelensky, and could help isolate hawkish European elements if Washington-Moscow relations improve. Holding off planned NATO arms shipments to Ukraine is cited as a potential show of goodwill to encourage Russian engagement.

This paints the negotiations as symbolically important but practically fragile, with real progress dependent on multiple actors beyond Trump and Putin.