"How Many Ounces Of Silver Are You HOLDING?": Alasdair Macleod | Silver Prediction 2025

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"How Many Ounces Of Silver Are You HOLDING?": Alasdair Macleod | Silver Prediction 2025

Rick Rule began his career in the securities business in 1974 and has been principally involved in natural resource security investments ever since. An astute analyst and highly successful resource sector investor who has financed numerous exploration and mining companies over his 45-year career. He focuses on sub $1,000,000,000 market capitalization public and private issuers in natural resource industries

To begin, let's reflect on the economic landscape we've experienced over the past 40 years. Since 1982, we've lived through a period of declining real and nominal interest rates, starting from a 17.5% prime rate. The U.S. dollar's dominance has allowed us to export our economic problems to other countries. The demographic boom of the Baby Boomers fueled economic growth, and the peaceful era of globalization and free trade created a benign economic climate. However, this era is over, and we are now facing a much more mercantilistic economy.

One of the most alarming trends has been the increasing amount of debt and deficit relative to the private economy. Let's look at some arithmetic for a moment. If you measure the deterioration of the purchasing power of your dollar by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), you might believe that inflation is running at 2.6% a year. However, this figure varies dramatically from the real experience of most households, especially when considering the price of gasoline, food, and other essentials. Consider the real yield on savings instruments like the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond.

Currently, it offers a yield of 4.3%, but if your purchasing power is declining at 7.5%, you're effectively losing about 2.5% of your purchasing power annually. Over a decade, this compounds to a significant loss. This scenario raises serious concerns about the efficacy of fiat-denominated savings products, which essentially guarantee a loss of purchasing power.

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