Does Russia have the advantage in the Ukraine war? | Start Here

“Both sides are suffering, but Russia is suffering less”. The Ukraine war has been at a stalemate for months. But with Ukraine struggling to get enough troops and weapons, does Russia have the advantage? #AJStartHere with Sandra Gathmann explains what’s happening as the war enters its third year.


00:00 Intro
01:10 - How life in Kyiv looks normal on the surface.
02:27 - Why is most of the fighting happening in the east and south of Ukraine?
02:24 - Mapping the frontline.
04:18 - How Russia has an advantage on troop numbers.
05:34 - The debate in Ukraine around the military draft.
06:18 - Shortages of weapons and ammunition.
07:35 - Ukraine’s success against Russia’s Air Force.
08:23 - Ukraine’s effective use of air and sea drones.
09:18 - How Ukraine’s war effort depends heavily on western support.
09:36 - Doubts over the continued flow of aid to Ukraine.
10:37 - What will happen during the third year of war?

This episode features:

Valeria Shashenok - Kyiv resident & content creator
Mark Galeotti - Russia analyst, Mayak Intelligence
Pavel Felgenhauer - Russian defence analyst
Nataliya Gumenyuk - Ukrainian journalist & co-founder of the Public Interest Journalism Lab

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