2026 Outlook: Rates, Jobs, and Industry Trends to Watch | Dec. 22, 2025

In this final episode of the year, Optimal Insights dives into critical market updates and a forward-looking preview of 2026. Host Jim Glennon is joined by Alex Hebner and James Cahill to analyze recent Bureau of Labor Statistics data, including unemployment trends and inflation surprises. They explore why job losses in government sectors and healthcare growth are shaping labor dynamics, and discuss the implications of CPI data anomalies on inflation readings.


The conversation then shifts to 2026 outlooks:

1. Interest Rates: Expect stability with limited downward pressure despite potential Fed rate cuts.
2. Federal Reserve Changes: Anticipated turnover in voting members could influence monetary policy and rate paths.
3. Housing Market: Possible affordability initiatives, homebuilder engagement, and HELOC trends may drive activity.
4. Industry Factors: GSE privatization, credit score model updates, and deregulation could reshape mortgage operations.


The episode closes with holiday traditions and reflections, offering a lighter note after a year of economic uncertainty.


Optimal Insights Team:

1. Jim Glennon, Senior Vice President of Hedging and Trading Operations
2. Alex Hebner, Hedge Account Manager
3. James Cahill, MSF/MSR Account Manager


Production Team:

1. Executive Producer: Sara Holtz
2. Producer: Matt Gilhooly


Commentary included in the podcast shall not be construed as, nor is Optimal Blue providing, any legal, trading, hedging, or financial advice.


Mentioned in this episode:


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