The fairness puzzle that sparked probability
Автор: Chalk Talk
Загружено: 2025-09-02
Просмотров: 28639
In a famous series of letters, Blaise Pascal and Pierre de Fermat invented — or discovered — one of the most important concepts in probability theory: the expected value. But they weren’t even thinking about randomness or chance — they were trying to find a fair solution to a gambling problem.
This is the story of how the quest for fairness turned into the foundations of probability theory.
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Timestamps:
0:00 The revolution in randomness
1:15 The problem of points
2:00 Looking to the past
3:57 Looking to the future
6:16 Expected value
9:00 Pascal's triangle
11:59 Unequal probabilities
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References
Ten Great Ideas about Chance, Persi Diaconis and Brian Skyrms [Book]
The Emergence of Probability, Ian Hacking [Book]
The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin [Book]
Games, Gods, and Gambling, F.N. David [Book]
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Created by Kelsey Houston-Edwards
Website: https://www.kelseyhoustonedwards.com
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