Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary

Gwern's blog: https://gwern.net/. Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. After the episode, I convinced Gwern to create a donation page where people can help sustain what he's up to. Please go here to contribute: https://donate.stripe.com/6oE9DTgaf6o.... Thank you to my friend Chris Painter for doing an amazing job voice acting Gwern.

𝐒𝐏𝐎𝐍𝐒𝐎𝐑𝐒
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𝐄𝐏𝐈𝐒𝐎𝐃𝐄 𝐋𝐈𝐍𝐊𝐒
Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/gwern...
Me on Twitter:   / dwarkesh_sp  
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/46H5...

𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒
00:00:00 - Anonymity
00:01:09 - Automating Steve Jobs
00:04:38 - Isaac Newton's theory of progress
00:06:36 - Grand theory of intelligence
00:10:39 - Seeing scaling early
00:21:04 - AGI Timelines
00:22:54 - What to do in remaining 3 years until AGI
00:26:29 - Influencing the shoggoth with writing
00:30:50 - Human vs artificial intelligence
00:33:52 - Rabbit holes
00:38:48 - Hearing impairment
00:43:00 - Wikipedia editing
00:47:43 - Gwern.net
00:50:20 - Counterfactual careers
00:54:30 - Borges & literature
01:01:32 - Gwern's intelligence and process
01:11:03 - A day in the life of Gwern
01:19:16 - Gwern's finances
01:25:05 - The diversity of AI minds
01:27:24 - GLP drugs and obesity
01:31:08 - Drug experimentation
01:33:40 - Parasocial relationships
01:35:23 - Open rabbit holes