Djokovic vs Federer – Wimbledon Final 2019 (Game-by-Game Win Probability)

A game-by-game breakdown of the legendary Wimbledon 2019 final between Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer.

This video follows the match one game at a time, showing:

score progression

momentum shifts

estimated win probability as the match unfolds

From a tense first-set tiebreak to an unforgettable fifth-set decider, this format lets you experience the match as it actually developed — not just the highlights.

🎾 Match: Djokovic vs Federer
🏆 Tournament: Wimbledon
📅 Year: 2019

Chapters below — jump to any set:

00:00 Intro – Pre-match win probability
00:12 Set 1 – Tiebreak drama (Djokovic)
02:42 Set 2 – Federer strikes back
04:12 Set 3 – Another tiebreak battle
06:45 Set 4 – Federer forces a decider
08:46 Set 5 – The longest final ever
13:05 Match point & conclusion

This is not a highlight reel — it’s the full match story, told game by game.

Win probabilities are estimates, starting from pre-match odds and adjusted gradually to reflect match flow.

👍 Like, 💬 comment, and 📺 subscribe if you enjoy deep-dive tennis storytelling.

🖼 Image Credits
All images are from Wikimedia Commons, either public domain or licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike (CC BY-SA).

[Click to expand for full sources] 👇

novak djokovic:
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...

roger federer:
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...

centre court:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...