How to predict FUTURE stock bubbles?
Автор: Michael Mirai
Загружено: 2026-01-07
Просмотров: 11
00:00 The fundamentals of the system
01:05 The role of the catalyst: How new information drastically changes investor sentiment.
01:32 The feedback loop: The mechanism where rising prices fuel further growth.
02:06 History of bubbles: From Tulip Mania to Michael Burry and the housing market.
02:44 Why technology bubbles are the easiest to predict and monetize.
03:21 Three key questions: Which technology? When will it happen? What will pop the bubble?
03:38 Characteristics of "bubble-forming" technology: Potential to change the world and appeal to the mass imagination.
04:10 Pop culture as a social laboratory: How sci-fi movies emotionally prepare us for new technologies.
05:27 Narrative vs. Data: Why investors react to stories and viral demos rather than financial reports.
06:50 The technology cycle: Research, commercialization, and maturity phases—when is the best time to enter?
07:42 Case study ChatGPT: Transitioning from the lab phase to mass awareness in just 5 days.
10:01 Stock selection strategy: Fundamental beneficiaries vs. "Crowd-pleasers."
10:58 Exit strategy: Why it is crucial to leave the market before the bubble bursts.
11:26 What pops the bubble? Information contradicting the narrative and macroeconomic distractions.
13:35 The "Spotlight Effect" and summary of future predictions (humanoid robots).
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