How Prediction Markets Could Forever Change The Macro Landscape w/ Robin Hanson

In this episode, we sit down with economist and prediction market pioneer Robin Hanson to explore how betting markets could completely transform decision-making, from government data to crypto governance, and even central banking. Prediction markets don’t care about credentials; they care about truth. So why aren’t they everywhere? And what does crypto have to do with it?

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🎙 GUEST INFO 🎙
Robin Hanson: https://x.com/robinhanson

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⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱
00:00 – Intro
01:23 – The Future of Tariff Policy and Trump’s Economic Strategy
05:22 – How Prediction Markets Could Revolutionize Decision-Making
08:34 – Why Prediction Markets Are More Accurate Than Experts
11:30 – Why Prediction Markets Face So Much Institutional Pushback
18:07 – Crypto’s Role in the Rise of Prediction Markets
21:39 – KGeN
22:15 – Fixing Government Data with Prediction Markets
29:04 – Can Blockchain Replace Trust with Verifiable Truth?
32:13 – Using Decision Markets to Guide Fed Policy
35:15 – What Is Futarchy and How Would It Work?
36:13 – Could the Fed Lose Its Independence? Possible Outcomes
40:19 – What Investors Should Watch For in Late 2025
41:29 – Wrap-Up

#macro #polymarket #fed

📃 Disclaimer 📃
The information presented in this video is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial, legal, or tax advice. The views and opinions expressed by the speakers, are their own and do not constitute professional advice. The speakers are not licensed financial advisors or registered investment advisors. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries significant risks, including the potential for substantial losses. The speakers do not guarantee any specific outcome or profit. Viewers should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.