Huge Price ALERT! If You Own GOLD or SILVER, Watch This NOW - Michael Oliver
Автор: The Metal War
Загружено: 2026-01-20
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Huge Price ALERT! If You Own GOLD or SILVER, Watch This NOW - Michael Oliver
Michael Oliver, the technical analyst famous for his "Momentum Structural Analysis," argues that a gold price of $8,500 isn't a fantasy—it’s actually a statistical probability based on fifty years of market behavior. Oliver points out that the last two major bull markets followed an identical script: eightfold gains from the bear-market low to the bull-market high. He cites the 1976 corrective low of roughly $100, which multiplied eight times to reach $850 by 1980. Similarly, the protracted bull run from 2001 to 2011 saw gold rise from a low of roughly $250 to over $1,900—another massive multiple.
Applying the same historical "ho-hum" math to the recent bear-market low of $1,050, Oliver calculates that gold would need to hit $8,500 to replicate what it has already done twice before. While such a price would technically "take out old highs and go ape," it would, fundamentally, be business as usual for the metal.
Turning to silver, Oliver is even more bullish about the immediate future. He identifies December as "month one" of a new acceleration phase. Projecting this momentum into the second quarter, he expects silver to leave double digits behind entirely, targeting a price level of at least $200, but more likely between $300 and $500. For investors, the message is clear: what looks like a ceiling today is likely just the floor of the following historical cycle.
Technical analyst Michael Oliver argues that an $8,500 gold price is statistically "ho-hum"—merely a repetition of the eightfold gains realized in the last two major bull markets from their bear lows. If gold replicates its history, $8,500 is the inevitable target. However, Oliver asserts the most explosive setup is currently in silver, which he believes remains "dirt cheap" even in the $90s. The critical signal occurred in November, not just when the price broke the $35 "double top," but when the silver-to-gold spread shattered its technical ceiling.
Drawing on precedents from the explosive rallies of 1979 and 2010, Oliver notes that once this spread breaks out, silver enters a violent "whoosh" phase that typically resolves rapidly within just two quarters. With the clock having started in December, he forecasts the climax of this acceleration will arrive by the second quarter of this year. Because the move is logarithmic, Oliver projects silver will leave double digits behind entirely, targeting a minimum of $200, with a likely surge to between $300 and $500 as the ratio catches up to reality.
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