AOM 2025: Everything You Wanted to Know about Moderated Regression But Were Afraid to Ask

Live recording of the Academy of Management Meeting 2025 Moderation Professional Development workshop by Jeremy Dawson and Mikko Rönkkö.

Link to materials: http://www.jeremydawson.com/pdw.htm including slides, datasets, R, Stata, and SPSS syntax.

Audience questions (read only now): https://edu.flinga.fi/s/EENFRXZ


Shiny apps

Plotting tool: https://mronkko.shinyapps.io/Predicti...
Centering demo: https://mronkko.shinyapps.io/centerin...
Three-way interaction demo: https://mronkko.shinyapps.io/ThreeWay...


Recommended readings from the slides:

Aguinis, H., Edwards, J. R., & Bradley, K. J. (2017). Improving our understanding of moderation and mediation in strategic management research. Organizational Research Methods, 20(4), 665–685. https://doi.org/10.1177/1094428115627498
Arin, P., Minniti, M., Murtinu, S., & Spagnolo, N. (2022). Inflection Points, Kinks, and Jumps: A Statistical Approach to Detecting Nonlinearities. Organizational Research Methods, 25(4), 786–814. https://doi.org/10.1177/1094428121105...

Dawson, J. F. (2014). Moderation in management research: What, why, when, and how. Journal of Business and Psychology, 29(1), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10869-013-93...

Dawson, J. F., & Richter, A. W. (2006). Probing three-way interactions in moderated multiple regression: Development and application of a slope difference test. Journal of Applied Psychology, 91(4), 917–926. https://doi.org/10.1037/0021-9010.91....

Gardner, R. G., Harris, T. B., Li, N., Kirkman, B. L., & Mathieu, J. E. (2017). Understanding “it depends” in organizational research: A theory-based taxonomy, review, and future research agenda concerning interactive and quadratic relationships. Organizational Research Methods, 20(4), 610–638. https://doi.org/10.1177/1094428117708856

Haans, R. F. J., Pieters, C., & He, Z.-L. (2016). Thinking about U: Theorizing and testing U- and inverted U-shaped relationships in strategy research. Strategic Management Journal, 37(7), 1177–1195. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2399

Kalnins, A. (2024). Should moderated regressions include or exclude quadratic terms? Present both! Then apply our linear algebraic analysis to identify the preferable specification. Organizational Research Methods, 27(1), 29–63. https://doi.org/10.1177/1094428122112...

Rönkkö, M., Aalto, E., Tenhunen, H., & Aguirre-Urreta, M. I. (2022). Eight simple guidelines for improved understanding of transformations and nonlinear effects. Organizational Research Methods, 25(1), 48–87. https://doi.org/10.1177/1094428121991907