Armenia’s Western Pivot: Smart Move or a Risky Gamble?

Dr. Pavel Baev, a professor at the Peace Research Institute in Oslo, is in Yerevan to participate in a conference organized by the Caucasus Institute. The program is entitled “Gathering Storm: Regional Security of the South Caucasus in the Context of the Crisis of the Global Order.” Dr. Baev speaks with CivilNet about Russia’s foreign policy and whether the current geopolitical shifts may see Moscow make a stronger comeback in the South Caucasus. He also assesses Armenia’s western pivot at this moment when the global liberal order appears to be ending under President Donald Trump.

0:00 Introduction
0:47 How is the changing world order affecting Russia's foreign policy?
5:35 Have Russia's strategic goals in the South Caucasus changed in recent years?
9:13 Did Russia see the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War coming or even facilitate it?
10:02 What does Russia make of the ascendent Turkey-Azerbaijan power in the South Caucasus?
13:06 Is Armenia's pivot to Europe wise amid the rise of US-Russia cooperation?
16:13 What is Russia's future in the South Caucasus?

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