Webinar: Running the numbers - Why Lucky Catch event in Merge Mansion is unbeatable

We've tested Merge Mansion’s Lucky Catch event to uncover if it's impossible to complete, as many players have complained. This webinar recording goes through the process of modelling the event in Machinations & running Monte Carlo simulations, the results and conclusions.

Merge Mansion is the most popular merge game in the world. Its Lucky Catch event is a long-running minigame that challenges the player to collect fish over a four-day period. Our Machinations model validates the experience of many players, who say the event is unbeatable.

📌 What you’ll learn:
✅ How we built & simulated the model to test the event’s mechanics
✅ The real cost, time, and odds of completing
✅ What this means for game balance and player experience

📖 Resources:
Diagram: https://machinations.io/community/har...
Article: https://machinations.io/articles/why-...

In this video:
00:00 Intro
01:18 Why we chose this example
02:46 About Merge Mansion and Lucky Catch
05:32 Questions to answer
06:47 Disclaimers
07:39 The Machinations model
09:40 Results & conclusions
24:01 What went wrong with Lucky Catch?
26:52 The harms of bad design
27:52 Q&A
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💬 Join the Discussion:

Have questions or need further assistance? Leave a comment below, and we’ll get back to you as soon as possible or join our community on Discord for real-time support and to connect with fellow Machinations users.

Get in touch with us:

Discord:   / discord  
LinkedIn:   / mycompany  
Reddit:   / machinations  
Blog: https://machinations.io/articles

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