⁠Markets Swing As Iran Crisis Grows: What Investors Are Watching? | The Core Report

On Episode 774 of The Core Report, financial journalist Govindraj Ethiraj talks to Nishank Goyal, CEO at Masters India.
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SHOW NOTES
(00:00) Stories of the Day
(01:14) Iran tensions lead to markets flip flopping
(03:12) Gold, silver hit record highs again, quite predictably
(04:03) Indian exports to the US are holding steady for now
(05:52) Oil prices pull back as US says will not attack Iran for now
(12:02) China trade surplus hits record $1.19 trillion despite US tariffs
(13:13) Tax and Technology
(22:29) Feedback

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War and Trade:

When it is not trade, it is war. Iran shut its airspace for five hours on Wednesday, forcing airlines to reroute flights and disrupting Indian carriers like Air India and IndiGo. As protests intensified, India advised its nationals in Iran to leave.

Markets are tracking two risks. The scale of unrest in Iran and the possibility of US military action. President Donald Trump ruled out an immediate strike, but uncertainty remains. Oil prices fell despite tensions. Indian markets were shut on Thursday due to Mumbai civic elections. On Wednesday, stocks declined again with little sign of a rebound, aside from limited relief that the US has not intervened so far.

India is also awaiting clarity on a possible 25 percent US tariff linked to exports involving Iran, though volumes are small.

Gold and Silver:

Gold and silver hit record highs, then eased, as investors sought safe havens and priced in possible Fed rate cuts. Gold touched about $4,641. TSMC reported 35 percent profit growth on strong AI chip demand.

Steady Trade:

India’s trade deficit widened to about $25 billion in December as imports rose. US tariffs since late August hit select Indian exports, but overall shipments stayed steady, helped by diversification toward China, Russia, the Middle East, and the EU.

The India Energy Week 2026 Segment:

Oil fell over 3 percent after Trump said the crackdown in Iran was easing, reducing supply disruption fears. Brent was near $64 and WTI near $60. The US is also withdrawing some personnel from Middle East bases.

More Tax Travails:

The Supreme Court upheld tax on Tiger Global’s $1.6 billion Flipkart exit, citing substance over structure and questioning Mauritius routing. The ruling recalls the Vodafone tax dispute.

Auto Market:

Mercedes sold about 19,000 cars in 2025 versus 19,500, with strong demand for top-end models. Average selling price rose to about $111,000. BMW sold about 18,000.

Is IT Looking Up?

Infosys raised its revenue forecast, citing steady demand & AI momentum, though profit dipped. Large deals rose to about $4.8 billion. SMBC got in-principle approval to set up a wholly owned India unit.

China’s Surplus:

China’s trade surplus hit about $1.2 trillion in 2025. Exports to the US fell, but shipments to other regions rose as supply chains adapted.

Tax & Technology:

With the Union Budget approaching, tax collections and compliance are in focus. Businesses are reassessing readiness as regulations evolve. The Core spoke with Nishank Goyal of Masters India on how compliance is changing.

As markets swing amid the Iran crisis, investors are watching oil prices, gold, trade tariffs & global risk closely. From India’s exports & stock markets to AI-driven tech growth & tax policy, this episode breaks down what matters next. Stay informed on market volatility, geopolitics & investing signals shaping India & the world.

#Markets #IranCrisis #StockMarket #Investing #GlobalEconomy #StockMarketNews #TheCoreReport #TheCore

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