คาด /kâat/ vs คิด /kít/: The Key Difference & When to Use Them?

Confused about คาด (expect) vs คิด (think) in Thai? This simple guide clarifies the key differences and helps you avoid common errors. Speak Thai more fluently and confidently!
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Expect, Predict, Anticipate
คาด
/kâat/
คาด /kâat/ focuses on expectation or forecasting a general and uncomplicated guess, often with some level of prior consideration.
คิด /kít/ emphasizes general thought or belief, without necessarily implying prior analysis or prediction.

1. We think it will rain heavily
เราคิดว่าฝนจะตกหนัก
/rao kít wâa fŏn jà dtòk nàk/

We expect it will rain heavily
เราคาดว่าฝนจะตกหนัก
/rao kâat wâa fŏn jà dtòk nàk/

2. We didn't think it would rain this heavily
เราไม่คิดว่าฝนจะตกหนักขนาดนี้
/rao mâi kít wâa fŏn jà dtòk nàk kà-nàat née/

We didn't expect it would rain this heavily
เราคิดไม่ถึงว่าฝนจะตกหนักขนาดนี้
/rao kít mâi tĕung wâa fŏn jà dtòk nàk kà-nàat née/

We didn't expect it would rain this heavily
เราไม่คาดว่าฝนจะตกหนักขนาดนี้
/rao mâi kâat wâa fŏn jà dtòk nàk kà-nàat née/

We didn't expect it would rain this heavily
เราคาดไม่ถึงว่าฝนจะตกหนักขนาดนี้
/rao kâat mâi tĕung wâa fŏn jà dtòk nàk kà-nàat née/

3. I expected that they would say this
ผมคาดไว้แล้วว่าเค้าต้องพูดแบบนี้
/pŏm kâat wái láew wâa káo dtông pôot bàep née/

4. Jane didn't expect to see her ex at the airport
เจนคาดไม่ถึงว่าจะเจอแฟนเก่าที่สนามบิน
/jen kâat mâi tĕung wâa jà jer faen gào têe sà-năam bin/

To expect, To hope for
(It often implies a personal desire or anticipation for a particular outcome, used when emotions and personal hopes are involved)
คาดหวัง
/kâat wăng/

5. Parents expect their children to graduate from university
พ่อแม่คาดหวังให้ลูกเรียนจบมหาวิทยาลัย
/pôr mâe kâat wăng hâi lôok riian jòp má-hăa wít-tá-yaa-lai/

To forecast or To predict
(It's often used in more formal or analytical contexts, such as predicting future events or trends. Used when making a prediction based on supporting information or in academic/formal contexts)
คาดการณ์
/kâat gaan/

6. The government forecasts that there will be more tourists next year
รัฐบาลคาดการณ์ว่าปีหน้าจะมีนักท่องเที่ยวมากขึ้น
/rát-tà-baan kâat gaan wâa bpee nâa jà mee nák tông tîieow mâak kêun/

Practice: I expect the weather to be very hot today.
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