India’s Demographic Shift | Causes, Trends & Future Projections | InFocus | Drishti IAS

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The latest assessment by the Indian Association for the Study of Population (IASP) highlights a significant demographic shift in India. According to the report, India’s population is projected to stabilise by around 2080 as the country’s Total Fertility Rate (TFR) continues to fall below the replacement level. This decline is driven by rising female literacy, increased educational attainment, delayed marriages, better access to contraception and family planning, urbanisation, and changing social norms. The report also notes that several states have already entered a phase of population decline. These demographic changes will have long-term implications for India’s labour force, elderly care systems, social security, and economic planning. The transition marks a historic moment as India moves from rapid population growth toward stabilisation driven by social, economic, and lifestyle transformations.


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