AI CEO: ‘Stock Crash Could Stop AI Progress’, Llama 4 Anti-climax + ‘Superintelligence in 2027’ ...

The latest on Llama 4, and whether it signals a slowdown in AI, or solid progress. Plus, a deep dive on that viral prediction of superintelligence by 2027, and Dario Amodei’s cautionary words on what could stop AI progress in its tracks. o3 news, and more, as well.

Weights & Biases: https://weave-docs.wandb.ai/?utm_sour...


DeepSeek Doc:   / openai-is-not-r1-125869969  

AI Insiders ($9!):   / aiexplained  

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:47 - Stock Crash
02:28 - Llama 4
10:55 - o3 News
11:59 - OpenAI non-profit?
13:13 - AI 2027

Llama 4 Release: https://ai.meta.com/blog/llama-4-mult...

Dario Amodei Comments:    • The Future of U.S. AI Leadership with...  

Knowledge Cut-off: https://www.llama.com/docs/model-card...

Aider Polyglot: https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/

Gemini 1.5: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.05530

Fiction-LiveBench: https://fiction.live/stories/Fiction-...

OpenAI Valuation: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/te...

OpenAI Cybersecurity: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...

Deep research System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/deep-research-...

https://openai.com/index/paperbench/

AI 2027: https://ai-2027.com/

METR Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499

OpenAI non-profit: https://openai.com/index/nonprofit-co...

NYT Piece: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/te...

Kokotajlo predictions 2021: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Xgy6...

https://simple-bench.com/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprou...