Fertilizer Prices: Buy Now or Wait? Urea Outlook 2026

Fertilizer prices matter most when margins are tight. In this episode of What the Future’s Podcast, Ryan breaks down the fertilizer question farmers are asking right now: should you buy fertilizer or wait?

We talk urea price direction, why values can still climb even if the broader trend is lower, and what that means for Western Canadian farms heading into 2026. You’ll also hear quick market notes on yellow peas, rye, feed barley, and canola, plus a segment with Thomas and Al from Brett Young on forage and turf seed production as a diversification option.

What you’ll learn in this episode:

▪️ How Ryan thinks about fertilizer buy timing (best case vs worst case)
▪️ What’s behind urea moving higher (inventory, rebuy values, demand signals)
▪️ Quick market notes: yellow peas, rye, feed barley, canola
▪️ What forage/turf seed production looks like with Brett Young
▪️Practical considerations: quality requirements, inspections, swathing, storage/aeration
▪️Why cash flow planning matters before you lock in decisions

Links mentioned:

http://www.john deere.ca/essential

http://www.brettyoung.ca

lunchbox crew@ryande.ca

Getting ready for 2026. Watch this episode too    • 2026 Crop Marketing Outlook: Acres, Canola...  

If you’re watching on YouTube, hit Subscribe—and if you’ve got a fertilizer question for your farm, drop it in the comments so we can talk through it on a future episode.

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Email Ryan: ryan@whatthefuturespodcast.ca

What the Futures Podcast Website: https://www. whatthefuturespodcast.ca

Thanks to our Sponsors

John Deere
https://operationscenter.deere.com/

UPL
https://www.uplcorp.com/

BrettYoung
https://brettyoung.ca/

Timestamps

00:00 Fertilizer buy or wait + crop rankings
00:00:51 UPL Studio + Grower Rewards deadline
00:02:20 Guests preview: Brett Young seed production
00:04:52 Margins are tight: other crops matter
00:05:08 Flu story + bathroom reno
00:11:49 YouTube update + subscribe
00:14:02 What’s coming this episode
00:15:18 John Deere Precision Essentials Kit
00:16:04 Mailbox: Lunchbox Crew
00:16:44 Fertilizer question: buy or wait
00:19:26 Why urea is moving higher
00:21:24 Best vs worst case for urea
00:23:26 Market movers: peas, rye, barley, canola
00:26:28 Brett Young interview: forage & turf seed
01:01:20 Manitoba crop margin rankings
01:05:42 Cash flow planning + canola watch
01:09:10 Wrap + what’s next

00:04:52 Tight margins reality

#Fertilizer #Urea #CropMarketing