11-27-25 Market Cycles, Tariff Checks, & 50-Year Mortgages

Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth:
Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance's approach isn’t bullish or bearish. It’s risk-focused. Your job as an investor isn’t to predict the next crash—it’s to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle.
Lance and Danny Ratliff ponder Tariff Rebates and 50-year mortgages, and Lance and Michael Lebowitz pontificate on what Michael would do if he ran the Fed.
Happy Thanksgiving, y'all!

0:00 - INTRO
0:18 - Full market Cycles Encompass Bulls & Bears
4:54 - A History of Markets' Performance
6:33 - Market Cycles Have Rhythm - The Wycoff Cycles
8:39 - There is No Evidence of Imminent Crash
10:14 - Full market Cycle Analyses
11:50 - Navigating Markets Now
14:25 - Betting Against Buffett
17:33 - Market Dynamics Can Drive Bull Markets for a While
20:12 - Tariff Rebates & 50-Year Mortgages
37:42 - What Would Michael Do (if he was Fed Chairman)

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Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA

Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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