Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs - Sunday Night Football - Live Stream Color Radio Broadcast

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The Houston Texans (7-5) travel to face the Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) in a critical AFC showdown on Sunday Night Football, December 7, 2025, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, kicking off at 8:20 p.m. EST. This matchup pits two playoff hopefuls against each other, with predictive models giving the Chiefs a 64.6-71% win probability and a forecasted score of 25-19 in their favor. Kansas City opens as 3.5-5.5 point home favorites, with a game total of 41.5-45.5 points, complicated by expected cold weather around 27°F that could favor the Chiefs' clock-control style.​

Historically, the Chiefs dominate this rivalry, holding a 11-5 all-time edge over the Texans (5-11 overall, including playoffs), with Houston on a current 5-game losing streak dating back to 2022. In their last five meetings, Kansas City outscored Houston 129-95, including a 27-19 regular-season win in December 2024 and a 23-14 playoff victory in January 2025. The Texans' most recent win came in 2019 (31-24 on the road), but Kansas City's home playoff prowess—3-0 against Houston—looms large.​

Team Records and Stats
Houston's defense anchors their surge, ranking 3rd in sacks (34), 4th in interceptions (12), and 7th in third-down stops (35.91%), while leading the NFL with a +9 turnover differential. Offensively, they average solid production but rely on explosive plays from QB C.J. Stroud. The Chiefs excel in time of possession (32:17 per game, 5th in NFL) but lag in sacks (22, 27th) and picks (7, 20th), with a +2 turnover margin; their offense thrives on sustained drives.​

Key statistical edges:

Texans: Top-10 in red-zone defense (51.1% TD rate allowed), pass rush pressure (117 combined from edges).

Chiefs: 1st in third-down offense (42.6%), strong special teams (top-5 return average), but vulnerable OL (15th in edge protection). Against each other, Chiefs average 28.5 PPG in wins, holding Texans under 20 in four of last five.​​

Key Players to Watch
Texans Offense: C.J. Stroud (top-10 passer rating) tests KC's secondary with deep shots, backed by RB Joe Mixon (900+ rush yards) who faces a Chiefs run D allowing 4.2 YPC. WR Nico Collins stretches the field.​

Texans Defense: Edge duo Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter (23 sacks, 117 pressures) target Mahomes, exposed by OL injuries; secondary leads in INTs.​

Chiefs Offense: Patrick Mahomes exploits mobility (300+ scramble yards) despite pocket woes, feeding RB Isiah Pacheco/Kareem Hunt duo (combined 1,200+ rush yards) and TE Travis Kelce (red-zone king, 8 TDs). WRs like Xavier Worthy add speed.​​

Chiefs Defense: Secondary thrives in man coverage (top-8 pass deflections); LBs disrupt run lanes, forcing 1.5 turnovers per game lately.​

Injuries and Critical Matchups
Chiefs' OL is battered—Trey Smith out, others questionable—leaving Mahomes under siege from Houston's pass rush, which generated 4+ sacks in 6 of 12 games. Texans must shield Stroud from KC's blitz packages (top-10 pressure rate), where their LT ranks 25th in pass block win rate. Run battle decides tempo: Chiefs' Pacheco/Hunt vs. Houston's front (top-5 rush D, 3.8 YPC allowed); Houston's Mixon tests KC's middling 18th-ranked run stop.​​

Weather (27°F, wind) favors ground games and punts; special teams edge to Chiefs (better field position). Turnovers pivotal—Texans force 1.7/game, Chiefs protect ball well at home.​

Strategies and Prediction
Texans strategy: Blitz early to rattle Mahomes, win third/fourth-down battles (they're 7th in stops), force 2+ turnovers, and lean on Mixon for 120+ yards to limit KC possessions. Convert red-zone trips (85% rate) into TDs against Chiefs' 15th-ranked TD defense.​​

Chiefs counter: Long, 8+ minute drives via Pacheco/Hunt (control clock 65% time), use no-huddle to tire Houston's D-line, target Kelce underneath, and exploit special teams (top returns). Home crowd noise disrupts Texans' no-huddle.​​

This clash echoes recent history—Chiefs' playoff-like edge at Arrowhead tips scales. Models project Chiefs 25-19 win, securing momentum for postseason push, though Texans' D could keep it under total.