Austin Real Eastate Monthly Update: December 2025 Stats

Join Jen Berbas from the Berbas Group as she delivers the January real estate newsletter, breaking down end of year 2025 market data for Austin, Texas and sharing what it signals for buyers and sellers heading into the new year. In this detailed update, Jen walks through sales trends, inventory levels, mortgage rates, and the economic indicators that help shape where the market may be headed next.

Key highlights include:

Market Overview:
December 2025 total sales were up 5.7 percent compared to the previous year, suggesting stronger activity heading into the holidays. At the same time, December closings were down 4 percent year over year, which may result in slightly lower January closed numbers. Average days on market rose to 104, up from 94 last year, reflecting a more measured pace across the Austin metro area.

Inventory and Neighborhood Differences:
Months of inventory increased to 4.4 across Austin, but Jen emphasizes that this number varies dramatically by neighborhood and property type. She explains why pricing decisions should be based on the specific home type, buyer profile, and school zones rather than relying on broad metro level averages.

Weekly Market Activity Insights:
Jen shares an internal weekly chart tracking active listings, pending contracts over the last 30 days, and homes that went under contract in the most recent week within 12 miles of downtown Austin. While seasonal slowdowns are expected this time of year, she highlights an unusually strong week in December when 100 homes went under contract just before Christmas.

Is It a Good Time to Buy or Sell:
Rather than focusing on market timing, Jen explains why real estate decisions should be driven by personal goals, length of ownership, and equity position. What makes sense for a long term homeowner may not work for someone who purchased recently, and she outlines how her team helps clients evaluate these situations on an individual basis.

Mortgage Rates and Leading Indicators:
Jen dives into mortgage rates as a key leading indicator for market direction. While the national average sits around 6.16 percent, she notes that some local buyers recently locked rates at 5.99 percent. She explains the relationship between mortgage rates, the 10 year Treasury, investor demand for mortgage backed securities, and why rates can move even without changes from the Fed.

Fed Watch and Economic Signals:
Using Fed Watch data, Jen discusses expectations for the Federal Reserve later this year. About 47 percent of traders anticipate a 25 basis point cut by June, potentially influenced by a new Fed chair and shifting views on economic risk. These expectations may impact mortgage rates and buyer demand in the months ahead.

Pricing Stability Across Austin:
Despite neighborhood level differences and standout sales in areas like Hyde Park, the broader Austin metro market has shown price stability over the past two years. Jen explains why this consistency has been an important message for sellers navigating today’s market.

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Our goal as your trusted real estate advisors is to provide you with the information you need to help you reach your investment goals.

As always, real estate is hyperlocal and hyper-situational, so please reach out to us to discuss your specific situation. We’d love to help you and strategize what’s in your best interest.

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Jen Berbas, Broker Associate
Berbas Group | Bramlett Residential
512-655-9329
https://www.berbasgroup.com/
Jen@berbasgroup.com

Want to buy a home in Austin? https://www.berbasgroup.com/listings
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