Why Monte Carlo Simulations Get Retirement Risk Wrong
Автор: Ed Rempel
Загружено: 2025-12-04
Просмотров: 2936
♦Why Monte Carlo Simulations Get Retirement Risk Wrong♦
Ever been terrified by those retirement calculators showing a scary chance of running out of money?
That's Monte Carlo simulations at work—spinning wild "what-if" scenarios that often paint a doom-and-gloom picture far worse than reality.
In my latest video, we'll debunk why most of these simulated failures could never happen in real life, how they push you toward boring bond-heavy portfolios that slash your retirement lifestyle by an average of 15-35% in annual spending, and why simply planning flexible actions during market dips is a game-changer for staying wealthy without the fearmongering.
Ignore Monte Carlo panic porn for empowered planning. Focus on adaptability over probabilities.
Retirement isn't about avoiding every storm—it's about sailing through them smarter.
You will learn:
What are Monte Carlo Simulations?
Why most simulated failures are myths that can’t happen in real life.
Why the stock market is not a “random walk”.
How the solution of more bonds can make your retirement miserable.
Why action plans for market downturns are a better solution.
Why failures are not catastrophic – just temporary lifestyle adjustments.
Retirement isn't about avoiding every storm—it's about sailing through them smarter.
Click the link for more: • Why Monte Carlo Simulations Get Retirement...
Enjoy!
Ed
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⏰ TIMESTAMPS
00:00 | Introduction: Monte Carlo Panic Porn
01:33 | Understanding Monte Carlo Simulations
02:53 | Debunking Myths: Why Simulated Failures Are Unrealistic
04:01 | The Stock Market Is Not a Random Walk
08:06 | The Pitfalls of Bond-Heavy Portfolios
09:54 | Action Plans for Market Downturns
12:11 | Failures Are Temporary, Not Catastrophic
12:58 | Conclusion and Final Thoughts
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Thanks so much!
Ed Rempel
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Ed Rempel CPA, CMA, CFP is a financial blogger, fee-for-service financial planner and tax accountant with a ton of real life financial planning experience. He was awarded “Best Canadian Personal Finance Blog” by Expertido, and is the #1 financial blog in Canada for a financial planner on Hardbacon and Feedspot.
For the past 28 years, he has assisted thousands of Canadians with creating real, professional, “interactive” financial plans that earn results. Ed is known for his financial strategies, such as the Smith Manoeuvre and Lifecycle Investing strategies. He is also particularly skilled with the 8-Year GIS Strategy, a strategy to help seniors qualify for larger government pensions using effective planning & investing.
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